Malik Willis Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Malik Willis

NFL · Player Props

Malik Willis

QB · Miami Dolphins

Rushing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 2:49 PM EST

Analysis

Malik Willis Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-155/+118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 79.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Miami Dolphins to run on 47.6% of their downs: the 3rd-highest clip on the slate this week.
Our trusted projections expect Malik Willis to accumulate 5.8 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.
Malik Willis isn't afraid to be involved in the run game, accounting for 18.8% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among QBs.
Malik Willis has picked up 22.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the highest marks in football when it comes to QBs (76th percentile).
Malik Willis profiles as one of the top QBs in the league at generating extra ground yardage, averaging an outstanding 2.46 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Favors Under

This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Dolphins, who are huge -7-point underdogs.
The projections expect this game to have the fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 122.2 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 52.7 plays per game.
Malik Willis's 4.06 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this year shows a remarkable decline in his running prowess over last year's 7.40 mark.
Opposing squads have run for the 9th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 93.0 per game) vs. the Patriots defense this year.

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