Malik Willis Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Malik Willis

NFL · Player Props

Malik Willis

QB · Miami Dolphins

Passing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Detroit Lions · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 1:22 PM EST

Analysis

Malik Willis Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 199.5 (-137/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 224.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 199.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a massive -7-point underdog in this week's game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 44.1 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in the league.
Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the most adjusted yards in the league (287.0 per game) against the Detroit Lions defense this year.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 54.1% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Right now, the 6th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
The leading projections forecast Malik Willis to throw 31.8 passes this week, on average: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Dolphins profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
Malik Willis checks in as one of the bottom quarterbacks in football this year, averaging 168.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 15th percentile.

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