Malik Willis Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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NFL · Player Props

Malik Willis

QB · Miami Dolphins

Passing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Malik Willis Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 194.5 (-111/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 193.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 194.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Dolphins being a heavy -7-point underdog this week.
The Bengals defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (37.2 per game) this year.
This year, the anemic Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded a staggering 268.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing QBs: the 7th-worst in the NFL.
This year, the shaky Cincinnati Bengals defense has been torched for the 6th-most yards-after-the-catch in the league to opposing squads: a staggering 5.33 YAC.
The Cincinnati cornerbacks profile as the 7th-worst unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 53.1% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Dolphins are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run only 59.9 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number on the slate this week.
The Miami Dolphins have run the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 50.2 plays per game.
The projections expect Malik Willis to throw 28.5 passes in this week's contest, on average: the fewest among all quarterbacks.
The Dolphins O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all air attack statistics across the board.