Malik Willis Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-108/-122).
Key Factors
Favors Over
An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a massive -7-point underdog in this week's game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 44.1 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in the league.
Favors Under
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 54.1% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Right now, the 6th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
The leading projections forecast Malik Willis to throw 31.8 passes this week, on average: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Dolphins profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
As it relates to defensive ends getting after the quarterback, Detroit's unit has been great this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.