Malik Willis Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Malik Willis

NFL · Player Props

Malik Willis

QB · Miami Dolphins

Interceptions

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 3:42 PM EST

Analysis

Malik Willis Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-104).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Dolphins are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of a focus on throwing than their typical game plan.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may slide.
The Jets have intercepted 0.25 throws per game this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst defense in the league by this stat

Favors Under

The model projects the Dolphins as the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are anticipated by the projection model to call only 60.8 total plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
The 2nd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a lowly 51.6 per game on average).
The model projects Malik Willis to throw 28.5 passes in this game, on balance: the fewest out of all QBs.
The Dolphins O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

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