Malik Willis Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Malik Willis

NFL · Player Props

Malik Willis

QB · Miami Dolphins

Completions

Miami Dolphins vs Detroit Lions · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 1:22 PM EST

Analysis

Malik Willis Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-106/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme throwing game script is indicated by the Dolphins being a massive -7-point underdog in this week's game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 44.1 pass attempts per game against the Lions defense this year: most in the league.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Dolphins to pass on 54.1% of their downs: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
Right now, the 6th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Miami Dolphins.
The leading projections forecast Malik Willis to throw 31.8 passes this week, on average: the 8th-fewest out of all QBs.
As it relates to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Dolphins profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
Malik Willis's 57.5% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a significant regression in his throwing precision over last season's 86.9% mark.

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