Malik Heath Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Malik Heath

NFL · Player Props

Malik Heath

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Atlanta Falcons vs Green Bay Packers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Malik Heath Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has struggled when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.41 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 10th-most in football.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the 3rd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties project as the best group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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