Malcolm Brown Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Malcolm Brown

NFL · Player Props

Malcolm Brown

RB · Los Angeles Rams

Rushing TD

Los Angeles Rams vs Carolina Panthers · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Malcolm Brown Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+419/-927).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -905 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -927.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing offenses have run for the 7th-most TDs in the NFL (1.00 per game) vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year.
The Los Angeles Rams have gone no-huddle on 15.8% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (3rd-most in football). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams offense to be the 10th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 28.74 seconds per play.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line ranks as the 5th-worst in the league this year at opening holes for rushers.
The Carolina Panthers defensive tackles project as the 3rd-best group of DTs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box against opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Los Angeles Rams have elected to go for it on 4th down just 14.7% of the time since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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