Mack Hollins Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · New England Patriots

Touchdowns

New England Patriots vs Green Bay Packers · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Mack Hollins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+292/-317).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused team in the league in the red zone (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Patriots.
The predictive model expects the Patriots to call the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.1 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Patriots grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year (72.0% Adjusted Completion%).

Favors Under

This week's spread indicates a rushing game script for the Patriots, who are favored by 3 points.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New England Patriots to pass on 55.1% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
This year, the anemic Packers run defense has yielded a monstrous 1.25 TDs on the ground per game to opposing squads: the 5th-largest rate in football.
The Packers safeties rank as the best group of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

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