Mack Hollins Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · New England Patriots

Touchdowns

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Mack Hollins Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+308/-317).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the end zone (59.4% in a neutral context) according to the model is the New England Patriots.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (34.9 per game) since the start of last season.
When it comes to air yards, Mack Hollins grades out in the towering 75th percentile among wideouts since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 57.0 per game.
The Patriots O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

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