Mack Hollins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · New England Patriots

Receptions

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -156 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -143.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 10th-most total plays among all teams this week with 65.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (34.9 per game) since the start of last season.
The Patriots O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass game statistics across the board.
Mack Hollins rates as one of the best possession receivers in the NFL, completing an exceptional 72.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers project as the worst LB corps in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.
The leading projections forecast the Patriots to be the 8th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 54.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.