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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+150/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • Mack Hollins has gone out for fewer passes this year (75.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (33.3%).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 49.8 plays per game.
  • Mack Hollins comes in as one of the weakest wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a lowly 1.0 adjusted receptions per game while checking in at the 12th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Mack Hollins's 40.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a significant decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 59.7% mark.
  • This year, the daunting Texans defense has given up a paltry 60.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 5th-smallest rate in the league.

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