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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons

Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+143/-199).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -199.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Atlanta Falcons to be the 10th-fastest paced defense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.70 seconds per snap.

The Buccaneers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (40.6 per game) this year.

When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Tampa Bay's unit has been atrocious this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Falcons as the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Mack Hollins's 54.3% Route% this year shows a an impressive regression in his passing game volume over last year's 93.4% mark.

Mack Hollins's 1.9 adjusted catches per game this season marks a a remarkable decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 3.4 mark.

Mack Hollins's 54.8% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a an impressive diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last year's 64.2% mark.

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