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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+116/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mack Hollins has run fewer routes this season (94.7% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (30.9%).

The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Mack Hollins's receiving talent has been refined this year, notching 3.7 yards per game vs a measly 1.1 last year.

Mack Hollins's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this season, with his Completion% increasing from 50.1% to 63.2%.

The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks project as the 4th-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Las Vegas Raiders will have a new play-caller this season in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (61.6%) versus wideouts this year (61.6%).

The Las Vegas Raiders have used play action on just 16.4% of their passing plays since the start of last season (least in the NFL), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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