Mack Hollins Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Mack Hollins

NFL · Player Props

Mack Hollins

WR · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+138/-182).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Mack Hollins's receiving performance has gotten a boost this year, notching 3.6 yards per game vs a mere 1.1 last year.
Mack Hollins's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 50.1% to 64.4%.

Favors Under

The Las Vegas Raiders boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Mack Hollins to be a much smaller piece of his offense's pass attack this week (13.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (19.0% in games he has played).
The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.2%) vs. WRs this year (63.2%).
The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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