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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+138/-182).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.
  • Mack Hollins's receiving performance has gotten a boost this year, notching 3.6 yards per game vs a mere 1.1 last year.
  • Mack Hollins's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% jumping from 50.1% to 64.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Las Vegas Raiders boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Josh McDaniels, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.1% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Mack Hollins to be a much smaller piece of his offense's pass attack this week (13.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (19.0% in games he has played).
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.2%) vs. WRs this year (63.2%).
  • The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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