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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Houston Texans vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.
  • Mack Hollins has gone out for fewer passes this year (75.4% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (33.3%).
  • After accumulating 31.0 air yards per game last year, Mack Hollins has shown good development this year, currently boasting 36.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Bills to run the fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.0 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the 2nd-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 49.8 plays per game.
  • Mack Hollins has totaled significantly fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (14.0) this year than he did last year (25.0).
  • Mack Hollins's 40.9% Adjusted Catch Rate this season illustrates a significant decline in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 59.7% mark.
  • Mack Hollins's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this season, compiling a measly 5.51 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 7.98 mark last season.

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