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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

New Orleans Saints vs Las Vegas Raiders

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Mack Hollins has been less involved as a potential target this year (94.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (31.1%).

Mack Hollins has posted quite a few more air yards this year (59.0 per game) than he did last year (27.0 per game).

The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 7th-slowest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 28.72 seconds per snap.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year: 7th-least in football.

Mack Hollins has been among the worst wideouts in the NFL at generating extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.95 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 20th percentile.

The New Orleans Saints have stacked the box against opponents on just 13.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Las Vegas Raiders have utilized play action on a measly 16.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in football), which ultimately hampers passing efficiency.

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