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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

Mack Hollins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+206/-310).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +291 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +206.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Mack Hollins has been a key part of his team's passing offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 17.9% this year, which places him in the 76th percentile among wide receivers.

Mack Hollins's 39.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 14.6.

Mack Hollins's ball-catching skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% increasing from 50.1% to 82.9%.

Mack Hollins ranks in the 77th percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 0.31 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.8 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 6th-least in the league.

The Denver Broncos pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Completion% in the league (60.8%) to wideouts since the start of last season (60.8%).

The Denver Broncos defense has allowed the 10th-least passing TDs in the league to wideouts: 0.85 per game since the start of last season.

The Denver Broncos linebackers project as the 5th-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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