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Mack Hollins

Mack Hollins Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Mack Hollins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+431/-975).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +436 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +431.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has surrendered the 5th-highest Completion% in football (68.4%) versus wide receivers since the start of last season (68.4%).
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense has surrendered the most passing TDs in the league to wideouts: 1.56 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line has given their quarterback 2.64 seconds before the pass (8th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in the league.
  • Mack Hollins's 14.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the worst in the league: 23rd percentile for WRs.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • The Arizona Cardinals safeties project as the 9th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

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