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Mack Hollins
NFL · Player Props
Mack Hollins
WR · Las Vegas Raiders
Receiving TD
Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 15, 2022 Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM EST
NFL Props Mack Hollins Receiving TD

Mack Hollins Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+270/-454).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -442 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -454.

Favors Over
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.
  • Mack Hollins has accumulated significantly more air yards this season (62.0 per game) than he did last season (27.0 per game).
  • Mack Hollins's 44.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this year than it was last year at 14.6.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 7th-least total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The New England Patriots pass defense has conceded the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (63.2%) vs. WRs this year (63.2%).
  • The New England Patriots defense has yielded the 4th-least passing TDs in the league to WRs: 0.62 per game this year.
  • The New England Patriots safeties grade out as the 3rd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have used play action on a mere 16.4% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in football), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.
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