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Mac Jones

Mac Jones TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders

Mac Jones TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-220).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to call the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Commanders defense this year: 10th-most in football.

Mac Jones's passing accuracy has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 64.5% to 68.6%.

This year, the feeble Washington Commanders defense has been gouged for a massive 2.25 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing teams: the largest rate in the league.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Washington's unit has been very bad this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Patriots to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The New England offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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