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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New York Jets vs New England Patriots

Mac Jones Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots have been the 5th-least run-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 33.5% run rate.

The New England Patriots have called the 6th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a measly 55.6 plays per game.

Mac Jones's rushing effectiveness (3.85 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL since the start of last season (17th percentile among quarterbacks).

The New York Jets defense has had the 5th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, allowing just 4.22 yards-per-carry.

The New York Jets defensive ends grade out as the 4th-best DE corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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