Mac Jones Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Passing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 16, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Mac Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 199.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 224.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jaguars may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) because they be forced to use backup quarterback Mac Jones.
Right now, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jaguars.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The projections expect Mac Jones to attempt 36.5 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 9th-most out of all QBs.
In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Jaguars profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 32.6 pass attempts per game against the Raiders defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
Mac Jones has passed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (152.0) this season than he did last season (203.0).

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