Mac Jones Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Passing Yards

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Mac Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to call the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing QBs have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Commanders defense this year: 10th-most in football.
Mac Jones's passing accuracy has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 64.5% to 68.6%.
Opposing offenses have thrown for the 4th-most adjusted yards in football (268.0 per game) against the Commanders defense this year.
The Commanders pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency this year, giving up 8.76 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-most in football.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Patriots to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New England offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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