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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Mac Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 224.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots to call the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.5 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Commanders defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • Mac Jones's passing accuracy has been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 64.5% to 68.6%.
  • Opposing offenses have thrown for the 4th-most adjusted yards in football (268.0 per game) against the Commanders defense this year.
  • The Commanders pass defense has exhibited bad efficiency this year, giving up 8.76 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-most in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Patriots to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The New England offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

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