Mac Jones Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

My Account Log Out

reorder

Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Passing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 8, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Mac Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 214.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 249.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a big 8.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 63.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots offense to be the 8th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 26.83 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to attempt 38.8 passes in this game, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.
The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 9th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

Favors Under

Mac Jones's passing precision has worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 67.9% to 64.3%.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency this year, giving up 7.28 yards-per-target: the 6th-least in football.
The Buffalo Bills defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, conceding an average of 4.23 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-least in the league.
The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The New England Patriots O-line has allowed their QB a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

More Mac Jones Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow