Mac Jones Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Passing Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Mac Jones Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (-122/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 241.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 249.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to attempt 37.9 passes in this contest, on average: the 9th-most of all QBs.
Mac Jones has been among the most accurate QBs in the league this year with a terrific 67.4% Completion%, checking in at the 87th percentile.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 4th-most yards in the NFL (275.0 per game) against the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run among all games this week at 127.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The New England Patriots have run the 4th-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 53.9 plays per game.
The New England Patriots O-line has given their QB just 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on just 2.6% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in football). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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