Mac Jones Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · New England Patriots

Pass Attempts

New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 24, 2022 5:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Mac Jones Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 7th-most in football.

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.6% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in the league). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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