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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 16

New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals

Mac Jones Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 63.6% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots offense to be the 8th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.

Opposing teams have averaged 37.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 7th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

The New England Patriots have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.6% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (4th-least in the league). This deadens the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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