Mac Jones Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Mac Jones

NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Interceptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 10, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Mac Jones Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-182/+139).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -156 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -182.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jacksonville Jaguars may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Mac Jones.
A passing game script is implied by the Jaguars being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to pass on 59.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.
The Minnesota Vikings defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the NFL (39.8 per game) this year.
The Jacksonville Jaguars offensive line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.1 plays per game.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
The Minnesota Vikings have intercepted 1.49 targets per game this year, ranking as the best defense in the NFL by this standard.
The Vikings linebackers project as the 9th-best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

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