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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Interceptions
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts

Mac Jones Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-150/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots offense as the 7th-fastest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.53 seconds per snap.

Mac Jones has averaged 1.46 interceptions per game this year, ranking in the 3rd percentile among QBs.

The Indianapolis Colts have intercepted 0.41 passes per game this year, ranking as the 5th-worst defense in the league by this stat

The Indianapolis Colts linebackers project as the 7th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

The New England Patriots have gone up against a stacked the box on 27.7% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Patriots are a 4.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots to be the 5th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 54.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Mac Jones to attempt 33.8 passes in this contest, on average: the 7th-least of all QBs.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.0 pass attempts per game versus the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 4th-least in football.

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