Mac Jones Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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NFL · Player Props

Mac Jones

QB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Carries

Detroit Lions vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 11, 2024

Updated Nov 17, 2024 4:06 PM EST

Analysis

Mac Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Favors Under

The Jaguars may pass less in this game (and hand the ball off more) because they be rolling with backup quarterback Mac Jones.
At a -14-point disadvantage, the Jaguars are heavy underdogs in this game, indicating much more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.
Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to be the 2nd-least run-focused team among all teams this week with a 36.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The projections expect the Jaguars to run the 7th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.9 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 51.7 plays per game.