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Mac Jones

Mac Jones Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Mac Jones Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars may pass less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Mac Jones.
  • A passing game script is implied by the Jaguars being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.
  • The predictive model expects the Jaguars as the 4th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 40.1% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Jaguars to call the 8th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have run the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a lowly 53.1 plays per game.

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