Lynn Bowden Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Lynn Bowden

NFL · Player Props

Lynn Bowden

RB · New Orleans Saints

Receptions

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Lynn Bowden Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 133.6 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a staggering 62.1 per game on average).
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
This year, the shaky New York Giants pass defense has given up a colossal 87.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the 2nd-biggest rate in the league.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates a running game script for the Saints, who are favored by 6.5 points.
The New Orleans Saints offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, New York's safety corps has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 4th-best in football.

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