Lynn Bowden Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Lynn Bowden

NFL · Player Props

Lynn Bowden

RB · New Orleans Saints

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Lynn Bowden Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 63.4 plays per game.
The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Favors Under

A running game script is indicated by the Saints being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Saints grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.
This year, the formidable Carolina Panthers defense has allowed a feeble 24.0 adjusted receiving yards per game vs. opposing running backs: the 4th-fewest in football.
The Panthers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency against RBs this year, surrendering 4.30 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

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