Luke Schoonmaker Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Luke Schoonmaker

TE · Dallas Cowboys

Touchdowns

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 26, 2026 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Luke Schoonmaker Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1718/-2400).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Right now, the 5th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (60.1% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Dallas Cowboys.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to see 136.1 plays on offense called: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, tempting opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (39.2 per game) this year.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Philadelphia's unit has been very good this year, grading out as the best in the league.

Favors Under

A rushing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a 4-point favorite in this week's contest.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 59.9% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
With a poor 0.0% Red Zone Target Rate (1st percentile) this year, Luke Schoonmaker places as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the league.
Luke Schoonmaker's 2.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this season than it was last season at 8.1.
With a subpar 62.3% Adjusted Completion Rate (5th percentile) since the start of last season, Luke Schoonmaker places among the most hard-handed receivers in football when it comes to tight ends.