Luke Schoonmaker Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Luke Schoonmaker

NFL · Player Props

Luke Schoonmaker

TE · Dallas Cowboys

Touchdowns

Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Luke Schoonmaker Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1438/-1718).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.0% of their chances: the 4th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
At the moment, the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (59.3% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Cowboys.
The projections expect the Cowboys to call the 2nd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

Favors Under

Luke Schoonmaker has been has not been looked to very often his team's passing attack near the goal line, earning a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which puts him in the 1st percentile when it comes to tight ends.
With a weak 62.3% Adjusted Catch Rate (5th percentile) since the start of last season, Luke Schoonmaker rates among the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among TEs.
The receiving TD field reads "0" on the back of Luke Schoonmaker's trading card since the start of last season.
The Packers pass defense has conceded the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (69.7%) to TEs this year (69.7%).
This year, the poor Packers run defense has allowed a massive 1.60 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing teams: the 3rd-biggest rate in football.

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