Luke Schoonmaker Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NFL · Player Props

Luke Schoonmaker

TE · Dallas Cowboys

Touchdowns

Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 4, 2026

Updated Sep 30, 2026 11:57 AM EST

Analysis

Luke Schoonmaker Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1242/-2041).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Cowboys to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 62.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys to be the 8th-most pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.0% red zone pass rate.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The Dallas Cowboys have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 59.8 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

Luke Schoonmaker has been has not been looked to very often his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks in the 1st percentile among TEs.
The Dallas Cowboys offensive line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative influence on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Luke Schoonmaker ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among TEs, catching just 60.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 3rd percentile.
Luke Schoonmaker ranks in the 1st percentile among TEs as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a measly 0.00 per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 2nd-lowest rate in football versus the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season (65.2% Adjusted Completion%).