Luke Musgrave Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Luke Musgrave

NFL · Player Props

Luke Musgrave

TE · Green Bay Packers

Receptions

Green Bay Packers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Luke Musgrave Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-170).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Luke Musgrave to garner 5.8 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 5th-best in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers offense as the 5th-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 29.54 seconds per play.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has conceded the lowest Completion% in the NFL (54.4%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (54.4%).
The New Orleans Saints linebackers profile as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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