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Logan Thomas

Logan Thomas Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

Logan Thomas Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+175/-240).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -225 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -240.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Washington Commanders will be forced to use backup quarterback Sam Howell in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Commanders are a 5.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Washington Commanders have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 62.6 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 11th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 55.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Logan Thomas has been less involved as a potential target this season (68.1% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (82.5%).

The Washington Commanders offensive line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

Logan Thomas's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 72.2% to 65.8%.

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers rank as the 6th-best LB corps in football this year in pass coverage.

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