Logan Thomas Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Logan Thomas

NFL · Player Props

Logan Thomas

TE · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Washington Commanders · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Logan Thomas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Commanders to pass on 66.2% of their opportunities: the highest clip among all teams this week.
The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (38.2 per game) this year.
Logan Thomas has run a route on 75.0% of his offense's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 87th percentile among TEs.
This week, Logan Thomas is projected by our trusted projection set to secure a spot in the 88th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.6 targets.

Favors Under

Right now, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Commanders.

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