Logan Thomas Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

My Account Log Out

reorder

Logan Thomas

NFL · Player Props

Logan Thomas

TE · Washington Commanders

Receiving Yards

Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Logan Thomas Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to tilt 12.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
This week's line implies an extreme passing game script for the Commanders, who are heavy -8.5-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the Commanders to be the most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 67.6% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume.
With an impressive 75.4% Route% (88th percentile) this year, Logan Thomas stands among the TEs with the highest volume in the league.

Favors Under

Right now, the 9th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Washington Commanders.
The Dolphins safeties project as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

More Logan Thomas Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow