My Account Log Out
 
 
Leonard Fournette

Leonard Fournette Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Leonard Fournette Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-150/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 67.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 128.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 65.8 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed the 4th-least receiving yards per game in football (just 29.0) to RBs since the start of last season.
  • The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has allowed the 7th-lowest Completion% in football (76.3%) versus running backs since the start of last season (76.3%).
  • The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has shown strong efficiency vs. running backs since the start of last season, conceding 5.32 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-least in the NFL.
  • The Dallas Cowboys linebackers project as the 8th-best group of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line has given their QB a mere 2.30 seconds before the pass (2nd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™