Laviska Shenault Jr. Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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NFL · Player Props

Laviska Shenault Jr.

WR · Carolina Panthers

Receiving Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Laviska Shenault Jr. Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Carolina Panthers will be rolling out backup QB PJ Walker in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Panthers are a huge 13.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Carolina Panthers as the 5th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.1% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Carolina Panthers have run the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Laviska Shenault to be a less important option in his team's pass attack this week (9.5% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (17.0% in games he has played).
Laviska Shenault has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging a mere 6.73 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 8th percentile among wideouts
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has yielded the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the NFL (58.6%) versus wide receivers this year (58.6%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has exhibited strong efficiency vs. wideouts this year, surrendering 6.57 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the league.