Latavius Murray Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Latavius Murray

NFL · Player Props

Latavius Murray

RB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Latavius Murray Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a massive favorite by 15.5 points.
Opposing teams have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (160 per game) against the New York Giants defense this year.

Favors Under

At the moment, the least run-oriented offense in the league (31.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Bills.
The projections expect the Bills to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
After accounting for 52.1% of his team's carries last season, Latavius Murray has played a smaller part in the rushing attack this season, currently sitting at just 14.3%.
The Buffalo offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year in run support.
Latavius Murray's 19.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year conveys a a material decline in his rushing skills over last year's 55.0 rate.

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