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Latavius Murray
NFL · Player Props
Latavius Murray
RB · Denver Broncos
Receptions
Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Week 17, 2022 Updated Jan 2, 2023 12:21 AM UTC
NFL Props Latavius Murray Receptions

Latavius Murray Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-149/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -149.

Favors Over
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.9% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 64.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 135.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Favors Under
  • Latavius Murray has been among the bottom pass-catching RBs this year, averaging a lowly 0.1 receptions per game while ranking in the 2nd percentile among RBs.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers rank as the 10th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a mere 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in the league since the start of last season.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
  • The Denver Broncos have gone no-huddle on a lowly 3.8% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (8th-least in football). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.
More Latavius Murray Props Data by WriteNow™
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