Latavius Murray Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Latavius Murray

NFL · Player Props

Latavius Murray

RB · Buffalo Bills

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 27, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Latavius Murray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-119/-109).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in the league (67.7% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Bills.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the Buccaneers defense this year: 9th-most in the NFL.
Latavius Murray has been much less involved in his team's offense this year, staying on the field for just 32.5% of snaps compared to 52.3% last year.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL this year.
Latavius Murray has accumulated many more adjusted receiving yards per game (12.0) this year than he did last year (1.0).

Favors Under

With a 9.5-point advantage, the Bills are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a focus on rushing than their typical approach.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 125.9 plays on offense called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.

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