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Latavius Murray

Latavius Murray Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Carolina Panthers vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Latavius Murray Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.8% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.04 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects Latavius Murray to accrue 4.3 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
  • THE BLITZ projects Latavius Murray to be a more integral piece of his offense's passing attack this week (13.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (7.2% in games he has played).
  • The Carolina Panthers safeties rank as the 5th-worst group of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Latavius Murray has accumulated a paltry -5.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 6th percentile among running backs.
  • Latavius Murray has accumulated a lot fewer receiving yards per game (1.0) this season than he did last season (6.0).
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has performed very well when opposing RBs have gotten into space, yielding an average of 6.55 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-least in the league.
  • The Carolina Panthers defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the best in football since the start of last season.

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