Lamar Jackson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Lamar Jackson

NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

Touchdowns

Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+233/-239).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 66.8 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.
The opposing side have run for the 9th-fewest touchdowns in the NFL (0.78 per game) versus the Saints defense since the start of last season.
The New Orleans Saints safeties profile as the 23rd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL last year with their run defense.

Favors Under

This game's line implies an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a massive favorite by 8.5 points.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Ravens to pass on 49.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The model projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-most run-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 46.3% red zone run rate.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Baltimore Ravens since the start of last season (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).
In this week's contest, Lamar Jackson is projected by the model to have the 6th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 30.7.

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