Lamar Jackson TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Lamar Jackson

QB · Baltimore Ravens

TD Passes

Baltimore Ravens vs New Orleans Saints · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 4:27 PM EST

Analysis

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+106/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 66.8 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-most on the slate this week.

Favors Under

This game's line implies an extreme running game script for the Ravens, who are a massive favorite by 8.5 points.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Ravens to pass on 49.8% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
At the moment, the 5th-least pass-oriented offense in football in the red zone (53.7% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Ravens.
The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Baltimore Ravens since the start of last season (a lowly 52.2 per game on average).
In this week's contest, Lamar Jackson is projected by the model to have the 6th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 30.7.