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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Baltimore Ravens vs Denver Broncos

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are predicted by the projections to run 65.9 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-highest number among all teams this week.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.0 pass attempts per game versus the Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

With an outstanding rate of 2.12 per game (95th percentile), Lamar Jackson rates among the leading TD passers in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are an enormous 9-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 47.9% of their downs: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

At the present time, the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (52.8% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Baltimore Ravens.

The leading projections forecast Lamar Jackson to attempt 29.2 passes in this week's game, on average: the fewest among all QBs.

The Broncos defense has allowed the 7th-fewest touchdowns through the air in football: 1.00 per game this year.

More Lamar Jackson Player Props

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