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Lamar Jackson

Lamar Jackson TD Passes
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

Lamar Jackson TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Baltimore O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Since the start of last season, the porous Bengals defense has conceded a monstrous 72.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 8th-highest rate in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

At the moment, the 7th-least pass-focused team in the league in the red zone (48.9% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Baltimore Ravens.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are forecasted by the projections to run only 61.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.

In this week's game, Lamar Jackson is predicted by the projection model to total the 4th-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 27.7.

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